Trend and Forecast of Domestic Cement Price Recently |
| FROM： CREATEDATE：2009-02-03 |
Domestic cement prices prediction : first half of 2006, the strong growth in fixed asset investment to stimulate demand of cement, the cement industry development trends continue headway by the end of 2005, first half of the national average cement prices increased in the same period last year (first quarter continuation of last year's fourth quarter after rising trend of the pulse trend is not short season, the second quarter showed a rising trend in due season), various types and models of cement have modest growth, reflecting the market's overall trend needs to be flourish. In the background of macroeconomic regulation aimed at suppressing the excessive growth of fixed asset investment measures appear frequently, the June-August by the high temperature and rainfall and frequent typhoons affecting climate construction season stagnation prices dipped after the callback, for the year from September to October is also a peak demand period, the beginning (of which factors of floods and droughts increased in the South post-disaster reconstruction of the increased demand). Price is expected to return steady economic rebound, in November and even December (mainly in the south) since the end of the rush period, the result of strong demand driven price trend can be predicted.
The future cement industry to the economy by decision of supply and demand, the supply-side, along with the drop in rate increases in the second half of 2004, investment in fixed assets and the grudging lending banks to cement, cement industries, the investment in fixed assets in 2005 through the inertia on the dash began to fall in 2006. 1-6 on cement industry completed 17.17 billion yuan in fixed assets investment dropped by 0.84% in the same period last year. The potential for excess cement industry, cement industry investment in fixed assets fell help improve cement market supply-demand relationship. Demand, the short-term perspective of short-term macro-control of real estate cement industries may cause a negative impact on the progress of cement industry recovery (delayed recovery rate) , we remain vigilant, but we believe that the current macro-control is to prevent the excessive growth of investment in fixed assets (particularly in manufacturing, and real estate investments). private and local government investment growth impulses will be expected to make long-term investment in fixed assets maintained at a relatively high level, so that domestic cement demand in the medium and long term 5-10 years will remain high.
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